Likelihood Ratios for Erythrocyte Sedimentation Rates in Children with Nonspecific Illness

An erythrocyte sedimentation rate is often performed in children with nonspecific but potentially serious symptoms. Recently Huttenlocher and Newman(1) published likelihood ratios for serious illness for 233 children with abdominal pain, fever, or limp. Overall, the risk of serious illness ranged from 8% in those with ESR < 20 to 78% in those with ESR > 100. Likelihood ratios for serious illness by presenting symptom are below:

ESR

Limp

Abdominal Pain

Fever

< 20

0.27

0.76

0

20-50

1.3

1.5

1.2

>50

8.2

6.0

2.5


Serious illnesses were those that carried a significant risk of death or disability, including systemic JRA, osteomyelitis, pyelonephritis, appendicitis, leukemia, etc. (There was 100% agreement between the authors on a sample of 20 patients.)

1. Huttenlocher A, Newman TB. Evaluation of erythrocyte sedimentation rates in children presenting with limp, fever, or abdominal pain. Clinical Pediatrics, 1997 (June) 339-44.