Bilirubin Risk Index*

Variable

Points

This Infant's Score

Exclusive Breast Feeding at discharge

6

 

Previous infant with jaundice needing phototherapy or more

6

 

Bruising

4

 

Asian Race

4

 

Cephalhematoma

3

 

Mother ³ 25 years old

3

 

Male sex

1

 

Gestational age**

2 * (40 - GA)

 

TOTAL SCORE                           _________ % ile _______

 **The score is calculated as the sum of all characteristics that apply to the patient, except that points for gestational age are assigned based on twice the difference from 40 weeks. For example, a 37 week bottle-fed Asian male whose mother was 30 years old would receive a score of 14: 6 (for gestational age = 2*(40-37)) + 4 (for Asian) + 1 (male) + 3 (mother > 25 yr).

 

Score

Percen-tiles

Likeli-hood Ratio

Posterior Probability (Positive predictive value)

Approximate Posterior Probability as a fraction: 1 in

<= 7

1-32%

0.053

0.00006

15653

8-10

33-61%

0.36

0.00043

2327

11-15

62-90%

1.5

0.0019

540

16-20

91-98%

3.3

0.0040

251

>20

99%

18.2

0.022

47

*Based on Newman TB et al, Arch Peds Adol Med 2000;154:1140-47.  Updated 6/16/08, deleting Black race, because it turns out that while at lower risk of bilirubin levels ≥ 20 mg/dL, black infants have the same risk of bilirubin levels ≥ 25 mg/dL, and may be at higher risk for levels ≥ 30 mg/dL.