Bilirubin Risk Index*
|
Variable |
Points |
This Infant's Score |
|
Exclusive Breast Feeding at discharge |
6 |
|
|
Previous infant with jaundice needing phototherapy or more |
6 |
|
|
Bruising |
4 |
|
|
Asian Race |
4 |
|
|
Cephalhematoma |
3 |
|
|
Mother ³ 25 years old |
3 |
|
|
Male sex |
1 |
|
|
Gestational age** |
2 * (40 - GA) |
|
TOTAL SCORE _________ % ile _______
**The score is calculated as
the sum of all characteristics that apply to the patient, except that points
for gestational age are assigned based on twice the difference from 40 weeks.
For example, a 37 week bottle-fed Asian male whose mother was 30 years old
would receive a score of 14: 6 (for gestational age = 2*(40-37)) + 4 (for
Asian) + 1 (male) + 3 (mother > 25 yr).
|
Score |
Percen-tiles |
Likeli-hood Ratio |
Posterior Probability (Positive predictive value) |
Approximate Posterior Probability as a fraction: 1 in |
|
<= 7 |
1-32% |
0.053 |
0.00006 |
15653 |
|
8-10 |
33-61% |
0.36 |
0.00043 |
2327 |
|
11-15 |
62-90% |
1.5 |
0.0019 |
540 |
|
16-20 |
91-98% |
3.3 |
0.0040 |
251 |
|
>20 |
99% |
18.2 |
0.022 |
47 |
*Based on Newman TB et al, Arch Peds Adol Med
2000;154:1140-47. Updated
6/16/08, deleting Black race, because it turns out that while at lower risk of bilirubin
levels ≥ 20 mg/dL, black infants have the same risk of bilirubin levels ≥
25 mg/dL, and may be at higher risk for levels ≥ 30 mg/dL.