UCSFUCSF School of MedicineDept of Epidemiology
Last Year's Course Page: Fall 2000

Epidemiologic Methods
EPI 203

Fall 2001
Course Director: Jeff Martin, MD, MPH







 

OBJECTIVES

All clinical research regardless if classified as patient-oriented, translational, epidemiologic, behavioral, outcomes, or health services research has individual human beings or groups of human beings as the unit of observation. As such, principles of epidemiology serve as the basic scientific methodology of clinical research.

The objectives of this course are to give trainees a detailed understanding of the:

  • diverse array of study designs available in clinical research;
  • importance of measurement;
  • different types of measures of disease occurrence;
  • methods to measure disease association; and
  • how to identify and minimize selection, measurement and confounding bias in clinical research studies.

In addition, the course will give provide a conceptual understanding of multivariable regression analysis, a common tool used in epidemiologic analyses.

PREREQUISITES

Designing Clinical Research (Epi 180.04) and possession of a MD, PhD, DDS or PharmD or equivalent postdoctoral degree. Exceptions to these prerequisites may be made with the consent of the Course Director, space permitting.

FACULTY

Course Director:

Jeffrey Martin, MD, MPH
Phone: 415-597-9219
email: martin@psg.ucsf.edu

Lecturers: Dennis Osmond, PhD
Phone: 415-597-4966
email: dosmond@psg.ucsf.edu
 

Kimberly Shafer, PhD, MPH
Phone: 415-597-4954
email: shafer@psg.ucsf.edu

  Mitchell Katz, MD
Phone: 415-554-2999
email: mitch_katz@dph.sf.ca.us
Section Leaders: Ann Schwartz, PhD
Phone: 415-597-9315
email: aschwartz@psg.ucsf.edu
  Paul Varosy, MD
Phone: 415-221-4810 ext 4851
email: pvarosy@itsa.ucsf.edu

FORMAT
  1. Lectures: Tuesdays 8:15 to 9:45 am through 11/27/01, then 8:45 to 10:15 on Dec. 4 & 11.
  2. Section: Begins October 2. Tuesdays 1:00 to 2:00 pm. Note: Last Section is on Tuesday December 4, from 10:30 to 11:30.
    Content: Overview and discussion of lectures, and review of homework assignments.

TEXTBOOKS (provided to all enrolled trainees)

Epidemiology: Beyond the Basics by M. Szklo and F. Nieto (S & N). Aspen Publishers, Inc. 2000. (Note: There is a running list of errata at www.aspenpublishers.com/books/szklo.html.)

Multivariable Analysis: A Practical Guide for Clinicians by M. Katz. Cambridge University Press. 1999.

GRADING

Grades will be based on total points achieved on homework (~80%) and the final exam (~20%). Late assignments are not accepted.

SCHEDULE
Date / Time
Lecture Title / Content
Assignment Due at Afternoon 1pm Session
Lecturer
Tues 9/25/01
8:15-9:45 am

Understanding Measurement: Aspects of Reproducibility and Validity
How reproducibility influences validity; methods of characterizing reproducibility of measurements (within-subject standard deviation, coefficient of variation); methods of assessment of validity in the presence and absence of gold standards

Reading:

  1. Portions of Chapter 8 in S & N. Focus on p. 343 - 344, 352- 380, and 388 - 401
  2. Bland and Altman. Measurement error. BMJ 1996; 313:744.
    ( PDF, 210KB)
  3. Bland and Altman. Measurement error and correlation coefficients. BMJ 1996; 313:41-42. ( PDF, 492KB)
  4. Bland and Altman. Measurement error proportional to the mean. BMJ 1996; 313:106. ( PDF, 210KB)
  5. Excerpt on Validity, p. 59-66, from Chapter 4 "Measurement" in Research Methods in the Social Sciences by Nachmias and Nachmias. ( PDF, 904KB)
  6. Chapter 8 in S & N. Focus on p. 343 - 344, 352- 380, and 388 - 401

Homework: None

J. Martin
Tues 10/2/01
8:15-9:45 am

Study Design
Designs where the unit of observation is a group of individuals vs. the individual; main types of studies based on the individual as the unit of observation; the study base as a unifying concept linking cohort and case-control designs; designs based on prevalent vs. incident disease

Reading:

  1. S & N: Ch. 1, p. 3-4, 17-40
  2. 2. Wachholder S. Selection of controls in case-control studies Am J Epidemiol 1992; 135:1019-1028. Focus on "Study Base Principle" p. 1021- 1024. ( PDF, 2,368KB)

Homework: Problem set from lecture 1

D. Osmond
Tues 10/2/01
1:00-2:00 pm
SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 10/9/01 8:15-9:45 am

Measures of Disease Occurrence I
The three components in measuring disease occurrence; incidence versus prevalence; incidence measures based on individuals at risk vs. person-time; uses of different incidence measures

Reading:

  1. S & N: Ch. 2
  2. OPTIONAL: Tapia Granados, JA. On the terminology and dimensions of incidence. J Clin Epidemiol 1997;50:891-897.
    (PDF, 1,283KB)

Homework: Problem set from lecture 2

D. Osmond
Tues 10/9/01
1:00-2:00 pm
SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 10/16/01 8:15-9:45 am

Measures of Disease Occurrence II
Censoring; estimating cumulative incidence using Kaplan-Meier and life-table estimation; prevalence measures; odds versus probability

Reading: S & N: Ch. 2

Homework: Problem set from lecture 3

D. Osmond
Tues 10/16/01
1:00-2:00 pm
SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 10/23/01 8:15-9:45 am

Measures of Disease Association I
Fundamental differences between ratio and difference measures; forming ratio and difference measures in cohort studies; confidence interval and hypothesis testing in cohort studies

Reading:

  1. S & N: Ch. 3: p. 91- 98, p. 105 -117, p. 118 - 120 (i.e., skip sections on attributable risk); Appendix A3
  2. Schulman, et al. The Effect of Race and Sex on Physician's Recommendations for Cardiac Catheterization, NEJM 1999: 618-626. (PDF, 214KB)
  3. Schartz, et al. Misunderstandings About the Effects of Race and Sex on Physicians' Referrals for Cardiac Catheterization. NEJM 1999,341:279-283. (PDF, 853KB)

Homework: Problem set from lecture 4

D. Osmond
Tues 10/23/01
1:00-2:00 pm
SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 10/30/01 8:15-9:45 am

Measures of Disease Association II
Forming measures in cross-sectional and case-control studies; relationship between incidence ratio and prevalence ratio; confidence interval and hypothesis testing in cross-sectional and case-control studies

Reading: S & N: Ch. 3: p. 91- 99, p. 105 -117, p. 118 - 120 (i.e., skip sections on attributable risk); Ch. 4: p. 155-161; Appendix A4

Homework: Problem set from lecture 5

D. Osmond
Tues 10/30/01
1:00-2:00 pm
SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 11/6/01 8:15-9:45 am

Bias in Epidemiologic Studies: Selection Bias & Measurement Bias
Definition and classification of bias; distinguishing from random error; spotting and avoiding selection bias; influence (magnitude and direction of bias) of differential vs. non-differential misclassification of exposure, outcome, and confounding variables

Reading:

  1. S & N: Ch. 4: p. 125-155

Homework: Problem set from lecture 6

K. Shafer
Tues 11/6/01
1:00-2:00 pm
SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 11/13/01 8:15-9:45 am

Confounding and Interaction I: General Principles
Properties of confounding variables; types and magnitude of confounding; importance of defining the research question and the biological system in deciding whether confounding is present; strategies to minimize confounding

Reading: S & N: Ch. 5 and Ch. 1: p. 40 - 48 (section on Matching)

Homework: Problem set from lecture 7

J. Martin
Tues 11/13/01
1:00-2:00 pm
SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 11/20/01 8:15-9:45 am

Confounding and Interaction II: Assessment of Interaction
Interaction vs. confounding; assessing for interaction; tests of homogeneity; computer implementation

Reading: S & N: Ch. 6, p. 211 - 223, p. 233 - 251

Homework: Problem set from lecture 8

J. Martin
Tues 11/20/01
1:00-2:00 pm
SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 11/27/01 8:15-9:45 am

Confounding and Interaction III: Stratified Analysis
Use of stratification to form adjusted measures; concept of weighted averages; interpreting presence or absence of confounding; limitations of stratification

Reading: S & N: Ch. 7: p. 257 - 264; p. 273 - 280

Homework: Problem set from lecture 9

J. Martin
Tues 11/27/01
1:00-2:00 pm
SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 12/4/01 8:45-10:15 am

Conceptual Approach to Multivariable Analysis I
When to use multivariable analysis; choosing the best type of multivariable analysis for your data; assumptions underlying multivariable models; assessing the impact of individual variables on outcome

Reading: Katz: Ch. 1 - 3

Homework: Problem set from lecture 10

M. Katz
Tues 12/4/01 10:30-11:30 SECTION Schwarz/
Varosy
Tues 12/11/01 8:45-10:15 am

Conceptual Approach to Multivariable Analysis II
Handling common situations in multivariable analysis: missing data; losses to follow-up; including the right variables in the model; assessing the reliability of models

Reading: Katz: Ch. 4 , 7 and 8

Homework: None

Final Examination Distributed. Due 12/18/01 by 5 pm.
Deliver to Olivia DeLeon in Millberry Union 427W.

Final Exam (Word file, 384 KB)
Data Set (.dta, 5KB)

M. Katz
 

Last updated 3/19/02 .

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